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'06 Hurricane Season
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 4:35 am
by Rick
To those of us in the NE, not a good prediction.....could be our turn. Weather Experts Predict Busy Storm Season By Associated Press Mon Mar 20, 7:32 PM NEW YORK - This year's hurricane season will be more active than normal but not as busy as last year's, and the Northeast will be hit by a major hurricane within five years, a private forecaster predicted Monday. Experts at AccuWeather, based in State College, Pa., predicted this year's hurricane season won't quite top last year's record number of named storms and 14 hurricanes. A normal season consists of 11 named storms, with five or six hurricanes, said Ken Reeves, senior meteorologist and director of the company's forecast operations. The season runs from May 15 to Nov. 30. The National Weather Service counted 27 named storms last year. The AccuWeather meteorologists also stressed that the Northeast is overdue for a "powerful hurricane." Weather cycles and above-normal ocean temperatures make it a question of when, not if, they said. The meteorologists likened current weather cycles and ocean temperatures to those in the 1930s, '40s and '50s, particularly the pattern that led to a 1938 hurricane that struck Providence, R.I., and killed 600 people. Wind gusted to 186 mph, according to AccuWeather. Surges of 15 to 20 feet and waves of 25 to 50 feet left much of Providence 10 to 15 feet underwater. AccuWeather said Northeast hurricane damage could rival or surpass that caused by Katrina, which inundated New Orleans and was the costliest storm in U.S. history. The company plans to release a more detailed forecast, including landfall and strength predictions, in May. AccuWeather serves clients worldwide with forecasts, data, graphics, consulting services and computer equipment. Rick Ticket 85 SF Falmouth, MA
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 10:19 am
by BECCA ROSE
We will never see anything close to what happens down south, never ever. As long as you get your boat out of the water up here, you are pretty safe. Hurricanes in New England worry me about as much as snow in Key West. Now those sneaky little Noreasters, that's something to keep your eye on! Bill 33 FBC Ipswich, Ma. [img]
http://www.bertram33.com/photogallery/p ... a_Rose.jpg[/img]
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 10:54 am
by Rick
Hope you're right my friend, they scare the crap out of me. Remember riding my bike down to the harbor after Hurricane Donna went by somewhere around '63. Not one boat made it, they all sank. Thing is, given that we'd probably get a 24-36 hour warning, there's no way all boats are going to get pulled. We'll have to be at the marina fighting for our turn on the travelift. Guess that's when we'll find out who are friends really are ! Rick Ticket 85 SF Falmouth, MA
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 11:08 am
by BECCA ROSE
We'll see, when does the season officially start anyway? I know me and Doug will get out of the water first, his Dad runs the travel lift at the club. One of the only perks of knowing Doug, just kidding! Rick, when is the cover coming off?? Let's get moving it's almost April! Bill 33 FBC Ipswich, Ma. [img]
http://www.bertram33.com/photogallery/p ... a_Rose.jpg[/img]
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 1:52 pm
by Rick
Bill, No wonder you like Doug soooooo much ! That's nice....if & when one of these storms comes, I'd bet dollars to donuts that Mr. Doug's Dad fridge is filled with beer ! Who knows when the cover is coming off...hopefully 2 weeks or so. Still have to put the Stbd Engine back together and a few other small jobs. Depends on weather, but it won't be long once temps are above 50. Rick Ticket 85 SF Falmouth, MA
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 3:55 pm
by Brian Davin
Rick, I worked at Green Pond boatyard growing up when one of the hurricanes was threatening (early 80's I think). We hauled boats all day long (12 - 14 hours) stacking all the boats in the parking lot on blocks and stands that we could haul. Some chose to risk it and leave theirs in, often resulting in at least some battering. Hurricane track ended up sparing the Cape heavy damage that time. Brian '90 Bertram 33' FBC Never Say Never Guilford, CT (Homeport) Kinnelon, NJ (Home)
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 4:33 pm
by Capt. Ed
Down here in Florida, we have six seasons, your basic four, plus Tourist and Hurricane seasons, (I still have not decided which of those two are the worst). We have so many boats and fewer marinas each year (as they are being sold to condominium developers), that we cannot haul all the boats out for hurricanes (every other weekend), so we move them to safer areas. You know, you can run your vessels inland away from the coast and ride the hurricane out with minimum problems. Just because they are on land does not mean they are safe from serve damaged. I have seen many vessels destroyed on land from hurricane force winds. So as a back up plan, you may wish to plan some inland routes you could move your vessel to for safe harbor. As hurricanes have less force when they are over land opposed to water, and buildings are blocking or breaking up the direct force of the winds also. The key is advance planning! Down here, we were doing every other weekend for a while. [8D] 1979 Bertram 33' FBC ALEXANDRA Port Richey, Florida HAVE YOU SIGNED UP FOR BERTRAM PRIDE '06 yet? DO IT NOW... SPACE IS LIMITED!
Posted: Tue Mar 21, 2006 6:32 pm
by lobsta1
Capt.Ed, The problem with your scenario of running inland away from the coast doesn't really work around here. We don't have the water to run inland away from the coast. I wish we did have a few mangrove swamps to tie up in. Al 1978 33 FBC NITES OFF
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 2:04 am
by franklyprice
Around here it's always south of boston that gets it the worst. The cape area is always waitng to take it on the chin.That's one advantage of living on the north shore of boston with those colder waters . Storm surge and some wind are the only issue this far up.(knock on wood)
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 2:45 am
by BECCA ROSE
Capt. Ed, Hurricanes come and go, but those Tourist!! They'll never go away, I think they live down there full time. I was in Venice a few weeks ago visiting my parents, man has it changed, traffic like downtown Boston. Heard of a boat facility closing, selling out to developer. Water front real estate is the ultimate prize for developers, they would tear down a Veterans home to put a condo there. Bill 33 FBC Ipswich, Ma. [img]
http://www.bertram33.com/photogallery/p ... a_Rose.jpg[/img]
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 3:14 am
by Capt. Ed
Al, sometimes running north will put you out of the direct path of the strong winds, sometimes inland will be hit also. The idea is just to get far away. The last hurricane here (Wilma) I has my boat in Port St. Lucie, and moved it up the coast a hundred miles plus where it only had 50mph winds (still got some minor damage). Bill, you are right about the tourist, and unlike many of the fish I target, when in season, there is 'no limit' on them! [:D] So I like to get my "tourist stamp' early, before the rush. Did you eat at the Crows Nest in Venice; it is a nice place on the water. 1979 Bertram 33' FBC ALEXANDRA Port Richey, Florida HAVE YOU SIGNED UP FOR BERTRAM PRIDE '06 yet? DO IT NOW... SPACE IS LIMITED!
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 3:19 am
by captgene
I like the 6 Season scenerio. Like we mentioned , most of the marinas have sold out to developers , or only handle the megayachts. there is a small yard in lantana that for a price, you can get on a haulout list. I was in that yard last year when Katrina came close. I had lost some canvas and a outrigger while on the hard. Problem I have is running North or South. The bridges get shut down and you are basically trapped. I can almost spit in the ocean from my dock. I have put deep rings in the seawall cap with chains. Then tie across the canal to the cement piles and two huge storm anchors for bow and stearn. Pull it out to the middle and hope I don't find it in US1. Pray the Hurricane hits at low tide. What a drill! I wish I could just haul it out! Gene Dugan
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 4:45 am
by BECCA ROSE
Always visit the Crows Nest, had drinks there last visit. Wicked crowded though, Angela had to beat up a guy for a seat at the bar. I always thought of retiring to Florida, but now with it being so busy, even in the summer heat, and just as expensive as up North, I think I'll have to try something else. Your all lucky that your there already, wish I would of bought some land a few years ago... Nicaragua is a real hot spot, but filling up fast! Bill 33 FBC Ipswich, Ma. [img]
http://www.bertram33.com/photogallery/p ... a_Rose.jpg[/img]
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 6:14 am
by Admin
Baja still has plenty to offer...
Posted: Wed Mar 22, 2006 7:50 am
by Capt. Ed
We have been looking in Rowatan, and a friend just purchased a place in Panama. 1979 Bertram 33' FBC ALEXANDRA Port Richey, Florida HAVE YOU SIGNED UP FOR BERTRAM PRIDE '06 yet? DO IT NOW... SPACE IS LIMITED!